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@InProceedings{CastroXaElSoQuPi:2017:ImPrMu,
               author = "Castro, Fabio Silveira and Xavier, Alexandre C{\^a}ndido and 
                         Elesbon, Abrah{\~a}o Alexandre Alden and Souza, Jos{\'e} Maria 
                         de and Quartezani, Waylson Zancanella and Pimenta, Luciano 
                         Roncetti",
                title = "Impacto da proje{\c{c}}{\~a}o de mudan{\c{c}}as clim{\'a}ticas 
                         globais no zoneamento agroclim{\'a}tico da 
                         cana-de-a{\c{c}}{\'u}car na Am{\'e}rica do Sul",
            booktitle = "Anais...",
                 year = "2017",
               editor = "Gherardi, Douglas Francisco Marcolino and Arag{\~a}o, Luiz 
                         Eduardo Oliveira e Cruz de",
                pages = "1611--1618",
         organization = "Simp{\'o}sio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, 18. (SBSR)",
            publisher = "Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)",
              address = "S{\~a}o Jos{\'e} dos Campos",
             abstract = "The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) through its 
                         Fourth Assessment Report of Global Climate Change (IPCC-AR4), 
                         published in 2007, assign emissions of greenhouse gases as the 
                         main cause of the increase in average temperatures and alert an 
                         increase between 1.8 ºC and 6.4 ºC until 2100, thus being able to 
                         modify the climatic aptitude for crops in different regions of the 
                         planet. Therefore, a necessity exists to replace fossil fuels with 
                         renewable and clean energy sources such as ethanol. The cane 
                         sugar, therefore, presents itself as a strategic crop for ethanol 
                         production. The study objective: elaborate the agroclimatic zoning 
                         of cane sugar to South America considering the climate for future 
                         reference and 2050, in function to the emission scenario A1B 
                         considered pessimistic and using a balance between all energy 
                         sources. For the development of agroclimatic zoning proceeded to 
                         calculate the water balance (reference and future) of culture by 
                         the method of Thornthwaite \& Mather (1955). For the reference 
                         scenario used data from monthly averages of precipitation and 
                         temperature from the CRU, while for future projections, data from 
                         the Multimodel anomalies (ensemble) - MM for the 2050. Based on 
                         thematic maps reclassified on annual water deficit, annual mean 
                         temperature, annual water surplus and the Index Satisfaction of 
                         Water Requirements (ISNA) held an overlay of this information thus 
                         obtaining the final maps of agroclimatic zoning of cane sugar. The 
                         unfit areas correspond to most of South America and a substantial 
                         transition between the classes of weather ability of culture.",
  conference-location = "Santos",
      conference-year = "28-31 maio 2017",
                 isbn = "978-85-17-00088-1",
                label = "59560",
             language = "pt",
         organisation = "Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)",
                  ibi = "8JMKD3MGP6W34M/3PSLNUS",
                  url = "http://urlib.net/ibi/8JMKD3MGP6W34M/3PSLNUS",
           targetfile = "59560.pdf",
                 type = "Meteorologia e climatologia",
        urlaccessdate = "27 abr. 2024"
}


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